A discussion regarding the benefits of real options thinking in terms of benefit-cost analysis.
Written in 2006; 1,540 words; 3 sources; MLA; $ 50.95
Paper Summary:
This paper discusses how all the US Federal Agencies are legislatively bound by decision-making with benefit-cost analysis techniques at a time when they are under increasing pressure to prove the effectiveness of their spending and better accommodate uncertainty. Collectively these Agencies were responsible for making decisions on how they spent $2.5 trillion in fiscal year 2005, of which $1 trillion was for discretionary spending. This research identifies, through a case study of Federal Aviation Administration decision-making for a system within a complex system, how real options thinking can be acceptably and effectively appended to current mandates for benefit-cost analysis defined by the Office of Management and Budget in Circular A-94.
From the Paper:
"In the work of de Neufville and Wang (2004) it is stated that: "Most real options are not well-defined simple options. They can be compound or parallel. Compound options are often options on options, and the interactions between them are significant." (Neufville and Wang, 2004) Further stated is that: "Parallel options are different options built on the same project, such as the several possible applications or target markets of a new product." (Neufville & Wang, 2004) de Neufville and Wang (2004) categorize 'real options' as "those that are either 'on' or 'in' projects."
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