The George Bush and Al Gore Campaigns

Paper Summary:

This paper examines the numerous factors affecting presidential campaigns and their outcomes. The paper discusses the George Bush and Al Gore campaigns and looks at how the Electoral College, polls, state-by-state contests and the electoral geography each impact the election results. The paper further discusses the difficulty in predicting the winners of these elections as a result of all the influencing factors.

From the Paper:

"In an election with no dominant theme, predictions are difficult. Especially this particular Presidential election, in which it is entirely plausible that one candidate could win the popular votes, while another becomes President-elect. Americans must remember that this outcome has occurred before, and that the Presidential elections are not decided by the people, but by the Electoral College. Furthermore, although most Americans know that the Electoral College chooses their President, few understand the inner workings of this archaic institution. The end result is a difficult prediction that must account for the polls, state-by-state contests, and the electoral geography of the campaign."

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