The Future of the PRC

Paper Summary:

This paper discusses that liberal democracy is probably impossible in China and would not suit polity, or economy, or geography. The writer points out that the public is not as keen on democracy as on a stable, well run state, that allows mixed economy to develop. The paper refers to Lieberthal's five possibilities for the future, suggesting combined system of capitalist activity and the framework and order provided by strong central Party government.

From the Paper:

"Lieberthal's prognosis for the future involves five possible outcomes. However, this section was written before Globalization had taken the form that is has now, and the unexpected industrial development of China that was given new power by the return of Hong Kong in 1997. The future of China involves debate in all the tendencies that Lieberthal discussed, plus Globalization's record in Asia, the steady shift to a Chinese market economy, institutional change, but also, the pull of what is very old, in a stratifying society that does not expect good government."

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