The Future of the Taiwanese Stock Market

Paper Summary:

This extensive paper is a discussion of using contrarian and momentum strategies when predicting the stock market in Taiwan. The paper begins with an introduction to the problem in Chapter One that also contains the hypothesis for the paper, the definition of terms section, and other valuable information. This information provides a basis for the paper and gives rise to the belief that both of these strategies are very important for issues that involve the stock market, especially in developing countries.

A review of the literature follows in Chapter Two where information available about the issue is presented and discussed. At least 50 sources are analyzed in order to receive a complete picture of the issue. In addition to contrarian and momentum strategies, information regarding stock markets and Taiwan in general are also addressed. Chapter Three discusses the methodology for analyzing the literature and determining what decisions can be reached about the validity of the hypothesis.

Chapter Four presents the qualitative findings that have been determined based on the literature review and analysis of the data, and Chapter Five offers conclusions, recommendations, and a summary of information. The study concludes with a look toward the future of the stock market in Taiwan.

Executive Summary
Chapter 1 - Introduction
Statement of the Problem and Hypothesis
Purpose of the Study
Importance of the Study
Scope of the Study
Rationale for the Study
Overview of the Study
Chapter 2 - Review of the Literature
Chapter 3 - Methodology
Chapter 4 - Analysis of the Data
Chapter 5 - Summary, Recommendations, and Conclusion
Summary of the Study Information
Recommendations for the Future
Conclusion

From the Paper:

"Some may feel that this type of criminal activity does not occur, but there is a concern that these people may be misinformed about what goes on when the stock market has difficulty. Instead, the belief of many is that stock market problems create the potential for much criminal activity and unethical conduct because many people feel that this type of behavior is the only way that they stand a chance of making back any of the money that they have lost when the stock market performs badly. Various strategies can be used, therefore, to keep the stock market strong, predict where it is headed, and keep the criminal activity to a minimum."

Sample of Sources Used:

• Arkes, R. 1991. Costs and Benefits of Judgment Errors." Implications for Debiasing, 110 PSYCHOL. BULL. 486, 486-87
• Arlen, J. 1998. The Future of Behavioral Economic Analysis of Law, 51 VAND. L. REV. 1765, 1769
• Arlen, J., Spitzer, M. & Talley, E. (2002). Endowment Effects Within Corporate Agency Relationships, 31 J. LEG. STUD. 1, 31
• Bainbridge, SM. (2000)Mandatory Disclosure: A Behavioral Analysis, 68 U. CINN. L. REV. 1023, 1027
• Barber, B. & Odean, T. (2001) Boys Will be Boys: Gender, Overconfidence, and Common Stock Investment, 116 Q.J. ECON. 261

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