John McHugh

Paper Summary:

This paper argues that the ideal challenger would be able to take advantage of the demographic, political, and social features of the 23rd District. A summary of these features is included. The ideal candidate would also be a well-connected, politically established contender with a minimum of $700,000 in campaign funds. The reasoning behind this is explained.

From the Paper:

"I will begin by introducing the social and political conditions within the twenty-third district, after Jacobson (17). The majority of the twenty-third district is white (approximately 93%), with the following minority groups accounting for about five percent of the vote each: Italians, Eastern Europeans, and Jews (Hoyt, Hughes and Daly). The twenty-third district is also the largest district in the state of New York, consisting of areas in 11 counties and with an overall low population density (McHugh). The total population of the district is 654,361. Electronics, manufacturing, and higher education are the major industries, although the region is predominantly rural (Getler, McHugh). The median household income is $35,434 (Hughes and Daly). There are a large number of married citizens (over 50% in 1999) in this district as well as a substantial number of elderly citizens (15% age 65+ in 1999) [Getler]. The region can also be divided up by class: 54% of workers are "white collar" and 27% "blue collar," according to the Washington Post. On the whole, the district leans marginally Republican [Getler]."

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