The paper presents the hypothesis that as a company's expected growth in the earnings base and earnings per share increase, stock price will increase. The paper uses a multiple regression model to predict stock prices and presents graphs and tables of figures. The paper explains the results that there is a probable dependent relationship between stock prices and a company's expected growth in the earnings base and earnings per share and concludes that it is possible that as the company's expected growth in the earnings base and earnings per share increases, stock prices will also increase.
From the Paper:
"When trying to forecast what a stocks value will look like, there is no simple equation that can inform us precisely how stock prices will perform. So do stock markets price fluctuations move randomly? Do important economic indicators offer investors with useable information? This is important to know because changes in stock prices largely reflect people's opinions, valuations and expectations (Wood, 21)."
"However, there are a few things about the market that may allow predictions of whether a stocks value will move up or down. These forces would be fundamental factors including: the company's expected growth in the earnings base and earnings per share."
Sample of Sources Used:
Ince, Huseyin. Trafalis, Theodore B. "Kernel Principal Component Analysis and Support Vector Machines for Stop Price Prediction". IIE Transactions 39.6 (2007) p629-637. 29 April 2007. http://web.ebscohost.com/ehost/pdf?vid=2&hid=15&sid=a16471a0-e648-4189-9e5e-7ffe798b478a%40SRCSM1
Mergent Online. D. Leonard Corgan Library Database. Internet Database. Wilkes-Barre: King's College, 2007.
Levine, David M. Stephan, David. Krehbiel, Timothy C. Berenson, Mark L. Statistics For Managers Using Microsoft Excel Fourth Edition. Prentice Hall: New Jersey, 2005.
Wood, J. Stuart. Divergent Expectations as a Cause of Non-Equilibrium Changes of Stock Prices. 04 May 2007. 28 April 2007.http://www.mises.org/asc/2002/asc8-wood.pdf.
Data Analysis for Stock Prices (2012, January 15). Retrieved February 14, 2012, from http://www.academon.com/Cause-and-Effect-Essay-Data-Analysis-for-Stock-Prices/102628