An analysis of the impact of nuclear proliferation in the Korean Peninsula.
Written in 2008; 7,681 words; 10 sources; APA; $ 167.95
Paper Summary:
This paper serves as a Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction (LAMP) analysis of the question of nuclear proliferation in the Korean Peninsula. It describes the history and development of North Korea andr then discusses how North Korea's emergence as a nuclear power will affect nuclear proliferation in the Korean Peninsula and surrounding nations or national interests.
Table of Contents:
Introduction
Issue Identification
National Actors
Possible Courses of Action
Major Scenarios
Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Total Number of Permutations
Pair-wise Comparison Results, Ranking and Analysis
Conclusion and Focal Events
From the Paper:
"To many, North Korea is emerging as a noticeable player in the world, owing almost entirely to its bid to create and manufacture a nuclear arsenal. In the summer of 2006, in fact on July 4th, not coincidentally the US national independence day holiday, North Korea tested at least seven nuclear missiles. ("The Real WMDs; by," 2006, p. 14) This event was a slap in the face to the current international players in the arms race, and especially the US who chose, for ease of conviction, post 9/11 to strike Iraq, rather than N. Korea, as its first step in the "war on terror." This event also marks the beginning of a show of power on the part of N. Korea, to not only deploy weapons for testing, a kind of shooting into the air, but to continue to develop and employ them as part of their own security strategy, despite international pressure to cease and desist. There is no real question that current event could begin the process of one of the eventual scenarios, outline by the LAMP method analysis above. Each primary and secondary player will likely have a political, economic and popular response to the events. Increased fear in each nation, both primary and secondary as well as furtherance of reports of total economic and humanitarian breakdown in N. Korea will also likely continue to feed the potential for conflict and hopefully eventual resolution, of some kind. Ideally such a resolution would involve peaceful aspects rather than militaristic ones but given the show of force this is extremely improbable at this time."
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